By Sandeep Chaudhary
Combining Volume + Candlestick = Strong Confirmation Setup
In Technical Analysis, combining Volume Analysis with Candlestick Patterns creates one of the strongest confirmation tools for traders — allowing them to verify whether a price move is real or manipulated. While candlesticks visually display price psychology, volume validates that psychology by showing the strength and participation behind each move. For Nepali traders in the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE), understanding how to merge volume and candle analysis provides a clear edge — filtering false signals, spotting institutional footprints, and confirming genuine breakout or reversal setups.
A candlestick pattern alone shows the story of price — such as rejection, momentum, or indecision — but when paired with volume, that story gains reliability. For example, a Bullish Engulfing Candle with high volume indicates strong institutional buying, signaling a potential trend reversal or continuation. Conversely, the same candle with low volume might suggest a weak move or fake signal. Similarly, a Doji Candle with high volume shows major indecision among large players — often occurring near market turning points.
Smart traders read Volume + Candle Confluence like a dialogue between price and participation:
High Volume + Bullish Candle: Strong institutional buying (confirmation of demand).
High Volume + Bearish Candle: Distribution phase or strong selling pressure.
Low Volume + Indecisive Candle (Doji): Market uncertainty — prepare for volatility.
Breakout Candle + Volume Spike: True breakout confirmation — especially if accompanied by structure break or order block reaction.
In NEPSE, this combination works exceptionally well in volatile sectors like banking, hydropower, and insurance, where smart money participation can quickly shift price trends. During major announcements or earnings periods, sudden volume spikes paired with decisive candles often mark institutional entries or exits — giving traders actionable confirmation.
According to Sandeep Kumar Chaudhary, Nepal’s leading Technical Analyst and founder of NepseTrading Elite, “Candlesticks show emotion, volume shows commitment. When both align, you’re seeing the truth of the market — not the noise.” With over 15 years of banking and market experience, and technical training from Singapore and India, he teaches traders to use Volume + Candle Confluence alongside Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, and Price Action for professional-grade confirmation setups in NEPSE.
