By Sandeep Chaudhary
Combining RSI and MACD for Perfect Entry Timing in Nepal Stock Market
In Technical Analysis, combining RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) creates one of the most powerful confluence strategies for identifying perfect entry and exit points. While RSI measures momentum strength and helps spot overbought or oversold zones, MACD confirms trend direction and momentum shifts. Together, these two indicators allow traders to enter trades only when both momentum and trend align — a hallmark of professional trading. In the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE), where market movement is often driven by emotion and liquidity cycles, mastering the synergy between RSI and MACD can dramatically improve accuracy and consistency.
The RSI operates between 0 and 100, with readings above 70 signaling overbought conditions and readings below 30signaling oversold conditions. However, smart traders in NEPSE use RSI dynamically — they look for bullish divergences (when RSI forms higher lows while price forms lower lows) as signs of hidden strength, and bearish divergences (when RSI forms lower highs while price forms higher highs) as warnings of potential reversal. The MACD, on the other hand, consists of two lines — the MACD line and the Signal line, along with a histogram. When the MACD line crosses above the Signal line, it generates a bullish signal, confirming rising momentum; when it crosses below, it indicates a bearish signal.
The perfect entry timing occurs when RSI and MACD confirm each other. For instance:
When RSI rises from below 40 and MACD makes a bullish crossover, it indicates a potential trend reversal upward, signaling a buy entry.
When RSI drops from above 60 and MACD gives a bearish crossover, it signals a potential downward reversal, suggesting a sell entry.
This dual confirmation reduces false signals and helps traders align with institutional momentum. Adding Price Action and Volume Analysis to this setup further strengthens accuracy — for example, if both RSI and MACD show bullish alignment near a support zone with high volume, it’s a strong institutional entry point.
In NEPSE, where many retail traders rely only on emotional entries or single indicators, combining RSI and MACD provides a systematic, logical framework for decision-making. It works across major sectors like banking, hydropower, and insurance, helping traders identify not just the trend but the right moment to act.
Sandeep Kumar Chaudhary, Nepal’s leading Technical Analyst and founder of NepseTrading Elite, explains that “RSI shows when the market is ready — MACD confirms when it’s moving.” With over 15 years of banking and trading experience and professional training from Singapore and India, he teaches traders to combine these indicators with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodology for confirmation-based trading. His students learn that precision in timing comes from confluence — where multiple signals align, not from emotion or guesswork.
